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Article | Executive Pay Memo North America

The impact of U.S. policy changes on pay and talent management, and the implications for leaders

By Robert Hermenze and Marc Roloson | July 3, 2025

Organizations were hoping for a period of respite post pandemic. However, now they’re facing the ripple effects of tariffs and policy changes.
Compensation Strategy & Design|Executive Compensation|talent-intelligence
Pay Trends

When organizations moved past addressing a global pandemic, there likely was hope that a period of respite was coming. However, a highly competitive labor market, changes to the way we work and changing employee expectations continued to present challenges for organizations.

Today, organizations are facing the ripple effects of tariffs and policy changes. Through all of this, one thing remains clear: Compensation and HR leaders must stay on top of the latest design trends and insights to remain competitive employers — and ensure business success.

Once again, organizations are facing unprecedented challenges — this year in the form of U.S. federal policy shifts. To understand how organizations are responding real-time, WTW conducted a series of three, 48-hour pulse surveys of our North American clients in March and April. The majority of responding organizations (90%) were U.S.-based, with between 90 and more than 200 participants across all industries providing responses to the three surveys.

Economic impact and organizations’ responses

Most companies indicated they are preparing for economic impacts as a result of new tariffs and policy shifts. A significant 72% of respondents said they expect at least some negative effects on their financial conditions, including increased operational costs and supply-chain disruptions.

Industries that rely heavily on global trade (e.g., manufacturing, retail, agriculture) are particularly vulnerable to these impacts. Participants indicated that their companies are looking for ways to prioritize meeting the needs of their workforce while maintaining a disciplined approach to operating in a time of certainty.

Compensation strategies

Organizations are re-evaluating their compensation strategies to navigate economic uncertainty. According to the results:

Executive compensation

21% of responding companies have already implemented changes to their executive pay programs, and 25% are considering further modifications. These changes have the potential to reduce payout volatility, including shifting toward more fixed compensation (i.e., de-risking the program), widening performance-goal ranges, revising long-term incentive metrics, and shortening long-term performance periods.

In-flight incentive plans

The results provide detailed insights into how tariffs and policy changes are affecting in-flight incentive plans and goalsetting. Respondents indicated no plans to modify their short-term incentive plans or to seek discretionary adjustments (Figure 1).

35% of respondents said they are considering discretionary adjustments at the end of the performance period or have already made changes; 14% intend to make changes, such as revising goals or adjusting performance ranges.

Companies reported being less likely to modify their long-term incentive (LTI) plans or seek discretionary adjustments (Figure 2). 19% are considering discretionary adjustments at the end of the performance period.

Talent management

Organizations are adopting several key strategies to manage their workforce effectively amid policy shifts. Many organizations spent several years after the COVID-19 pandemic managing elevated turnover and challenges in attracting talent. Today, the data suggest that organizations are prioritizing investments in and use of their existing workforce.

  • Upskilling and development: More than half of respondents are focusing on skill building and development as a means for career advancement. Additionally, 57% of companies are prioritizing better defining career paths and development opportunities.
  • Use of the existing workforce: 55% of respondents are strengthening workforce planning to better leverage existing employees. They also are considering alternative ways of getting work done without additional headcount. Enhancing focus on succession planning is a priority for 43% of organizations.
  • Focus on employee wellbeing: Revising or enhancing wellbeing programs is a focus for 34% of respondents.
  • Total rewards spend: 28% of companies said they are rebalancing their total rewards spend by eliminating underutilized or underappreciated programs.
  • Rewarding top talent: While most companies are not overhauling their performance management systems, 20% plan to emphasize rewarding top performers more via differentiated incentive payouts. This may reflect that many organizations continue to face challenges in retaining top talent, even as rates of voluntary turnover continue to decrease.

Implications for …

HR leaders

HR leaders should prioritize clear communication with employees about the company’s financial health as well as any compensation program changes. Clear internal communications will help give employees clarity and faith in the business — and help prevent uncertainty-related turnover.

While there is an inclination to assume that labor market dynamics could shift, current actions being taken by organizations to invest in and leverage existing staff, plus low indications of planned reductions in force, suggest that the competitive labor market is here to stay.

Boards and compensation committees

Most organizations are taking a wait-and-see approach rather than making changes to executive compensation — particularly given the general expectation that policy changes and related uncertainty and volatility will continue in the near term. As compensation committees and boards of directors consider the current environment and how to respond, they should consider these guidelines:

  1. Focus on the business: Now is the time to ensure management is proactively managing through the uncertain and fluid environment to remediate underlying issues, ensure organization stability and mitigate business and people risk.
  2. Understand the impact: In the second half of 2025, compensation committees should look to management to provide transparency on impacts to bonuses from policy changes and economic conditions.
  3. Determine the adjustment, if any: With visibility into the entirety of the performance cycle, compensation committees will approve incentive-plan payouts and any discretionary adjustments in late 2025 and early 2026.
  4. Be planful for 2026: Review and thoughtfully consider 2026 incentive-plan design, including pay mix, metrics, targets and performance ranges, and adjust based on the current environment and what you’re learning in 2025. For example, should potential adjustments for tariffs be incorporated into the 2026 plan design?

The overall results of these pulse surveys reflect that compensation and talent challenges will persist. When organizations moved past addressing a global pandemic, there likely was hope that a period of respite was coming. However, a highly competitive labor market, changes to the way we work and changing employee expectations continued to present challenges for organizations.

Today, organizations are facing the ripple effects of tariffs and policy changes. Through all of this, one thing remains clear: Compensation and HR leaders must stay on top of the latest design trends and insights to remain competitive employers — and ensure business success.

Disclaimer

This article was originally published by WorldatWork on June 19, 2025.

Authors


Senior Associate, Executive Compensation and Board Advisory
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Director, Executive Compensation Team (New York)
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